Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Maximum Output

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Maximum Output

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week June 29-July 5

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1 Sonny Gray COL, SEA Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP
2 Chris Sale at STL Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13)
3 Masahiro Tanaka TB
4 Corey Kluber at TB Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined
5 Chris Archer at NYY
6 Felix Hernandez at OAK I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5
7 David Price TOR You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price
8 Dallas Keuchel KC
9 Carlos Carrasco at TB, at PIT These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains…
10 Danny Salazar at TB, at PIT …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week June 29-July 5

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1 Sonny Gray COL, SEA Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP
2 Chris Sale at STL Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13)
3 Masahiro Tanaka TB
4 Corey Kluber at TB Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined
5 Chris Archer at NYY
6 Felix Hernandez at OAK I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5
7 David Price TOR You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price
8 Dallas Keuchel KC
9 Carlos Carrasco at TB, at PIT These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains…
10 Danny Salazar at TB, at PIT …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile thanks to Salazar's HR issue, but TB/PIT both bottom 10 in HRs & ISO v. RHP
11 Anibal Sanchez PIT Speaking of HR issues… the most frustrating part is that Sanchez led baseball w/0.4 HR/9 from 2013-14
12 Michael Pineda TB I'd say he doesn't deserve a 4.25 ERA thanks to a 2.89 FIP, but we can't just ignore four 5+ ER outings; great skills, maddening volatility
13 Jesse Chavez SEA
14 Scott Kazmir SEA Had an 8-day layoff for his shoulder, since returning: 2.16 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, & 3.1 K:BB ratio in 25 IP
15 Jeff Samardzija BAL
16 Jose Quintana BAL
17 Taijuan Walker at OAK He keeps chiseling that ERA so make sure you're looking at the gamelogs and not just the bottom line: 1.91 ERA and 44 Ks in L42.3 IP
18 Lance McCullers Jr. KC, at BOS
19 Garrett Richards at TEX He's getting a lot of leeway on the 1.9 K:BB ratio bc of his '14, but he had a 1.9 K:BB in 230 IP before '14, too
20 Trevor May at CIN A bad third of an inning erased all of his ERA goodness, but it doesn't invalidate the legitimate gains he's made this year
21 Trevor Bauer at PIT Weeks ago I ended his comment w/"let's hope this consistency is real"… it wasn't, since: 6.64 ERA in 20.3 IP w/20 Ks, but also 16 BBs
22 Edinson Volquez at HOU
23 Jesse Hahn COL One of just seven guys w/2+ strikeout-free games: Dickey (3), Worley, J.Williams, Pelfrey, S.Gonzalez, & Gibson w/2 ea.
24 Yovani Gallardo at BAL Hasn't allowed more than 2 ER in any of his L6 (1.22 ERA in 37 IP); hasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr (2.98 ERA in 88 IP)
25 Hector Santiago at TEX His ERA has been north of 3.00 just twice: after his first (5.06) and fifth (3.14) starts; 7 HRs in June has ERA on rise, though
26 Ubaldo Jimenez at CWS
27 Wei-Yin Chen TEX
28 Clay Buchholz at TOR, HOU Holding a 2.48 ERA in June despite a couple of 4 ER outings in there; treat this as a 1-start wk when a trip to TOR is involved
29 C.J. Wilson NYY, at TEX
30 Nate Karns CLE, at NYY
31 Justin Verlander PIT, TOR Back stiffness has earned him some time off (last threw on 6/19), but expected to return for 2-start week
32 Mike Montgomery at SD, at OAK Former blue-chip prospect is making good early in his MLB career capped by 10-K shutout of KC of all teams
33 Miguel Gonzalez TEX, at CWS
34 Erasmo Ramirez CLE, at NYY Dropped a few spots because of the groin, but performance has just been unreal: 1.40 ERA & 3.8 K:BB in 19.3 June IP
35 Kendall Graveman COL, SEA
36 Adam Warren at LAA Supposed to go six-man to keep Warren in the rotation, but if they drop to five-man, it's likely him headed to the 'pen
37 Roenis Elias at SD Volatility is FUUUUNNN: 2, 1, 7, 2, and 7 ER in his last five starts
38 Nathan Eovaldi TB A 5.76 June ERA won't impress anyone, in fact it should make you vomit, but it's at 2.96 in 4 of the 5; other was his 0.7 IP/8 ER massacre
39 J.A. Happ at OAK
40 Ivan Nova at LAA Solid '15 debut, w/5 base runners in 6.7 IP, but just 1 K; will likely start heading upward as he gets some IP under belt
41 Andrew Heaney NYY Heaney gets a showcase while Weaver is out, but he could stick beyond if he excels; 0.5 HR/9 in 338 MiLB IP
42 Alfredo Simon PIT
43 Chris Young MIN KC will protect him from third-time-through, but trouble can happen in the first five: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, & 7 ER in his last six
44 Carlos Rodon at STL It's going to be bumpy w/that BB rate, but the upside is still sky-high; StL is 24th in wRC+ v. LHP at 86 this year (100 is average)
45 Marco Estrada BOS, at DET Appears to have regained his good MIL form, but the HRs really leave him w/a high-3.00s ERA ceiling
46 Wandy Rodriguez at BAL, LAA Gave back a lot of his gains in one fell swoop v. OAK (24th v. LHP coming in) after a 2.70 ERA in 36.7 IP before his last one
47 R.A. Dickey BOS, at DET
48 Eduardo Rodriguez at TOR, HOU He's allowed 17 ER as an MLBer, 15 have come in two nightmare starts incl. one against TOR
49 Phil Hughes at CIN, at KC
50 Brett Oberholtzer at BOS Last three: 2.25 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 20 IP incl. trips to COL and LAA; won't be special but offers some solid IP if you can take the K hit

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
51 Vincent Velasquez KC He's still learning so there will be bumps, but worth keeping an eye and stashing in case he pops like McCullers has lately
52 Colby Lewis at BAL, LAA Has 3.09 ERA in 5 June starts, but allowed 5, 5, and 9 ER in final 3 May starts; so bottom could fall out in a heartbeat
53 Tommy Milone at KC
54 Collin McHugh at BOS Fenway isn't a HR haven, but I still worry about McHugh there w/his 1.3 HR/9
55 CC Sabathia at LAA A great example of why you can't just blindly buy K:BB ratios as CC's 4.6 mark is near-elite (17th-best among qualified SPs)
56 Matt Shoemaker NYY Shoemaker's is 27th-best at 3.8, but no way I'm using his 1.7 HR/9 v. the second-best HR team in baseball
57 Drew Hutchison at DET This is the kind of start where he'll go six scoreless for no reason, but I'm not risking it
58 Cody Anderson at TB Strong MLB debut (against TB, in fact), but I want to see Saturday's start before declaring him a start
59 Matt Andriese CLE
60 Chi Chi Gonzalez LAA
61 Justin Masterson HOU
62 Nick Martinez at BAL
63 Alex Colome CLE
64 Wade Miley at TOR Holds a 3.10 ERA in his last eight starts, but TOR is terrifying for middling LHP
65 Kyle Gibson at KC
66 Rick Porcello at TOR Long been a Porcello-supporter, but this is just brutal; L7 starts: 7.07 ERA, 1.45 WHIP in 42 IP
67 Mark Buehrle BOS
68 Chris Tillman TEX
69 Bud Norris TEX, at CWS
70 Danny Duffy at HOU, MIN
71 Mike Pelfrey at CIN, at KC Pelf has a 4.46 ERA and 1.54 WHIP on the road thanks in large part to a… wait for it… TWO POINT NINE K/9 on the road in 40.3 IP
72 Kyle Ryan TOR
73 Jeremy Guthrie MIN
74 John Danks BAL
75 Yordano Ventura Replacement at HOU, MIN
76 Matt Boyd BOS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

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RankPitcherOppComments
1 Max Scherzer at ATL The best pitcher in baseball and it's because of what he did as opposed to anything Kershaw hasn't done because…
2 Clayton Kershaw NYM …Kershaw has still been fantastic even w/his mortal 3.33 ERA (33% K rate, 1.04 WHIP)
3 Cole Hamels MIL, at ATL
4 Gerrit Cole at DET, CLE With mid-level guys you worry when they face a tm like DET; w/aces you worry about those premium hitters going 0-4
5 Zack Greinke NYM If last year's 25% K rate was still around, he'd be better than a lot of 2-start guys even w/just 1, alas it's down to a solid 23%
6 Matt Harvey at LAD
7 Johnny Cueto MIN The focus now is whether or not Cueto will be traded, but not many parks would be worse and he's a true stud
8 Jacob deGrom CHC Out of his mind lately: 1.20 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, & 11.4 K:BB ratio in 52.7 IP, going 7+ IP in all seven starts
9 Michael Wacha SD Of course PHI saddles him w/worst start of yr: 5 IP/5 ER; has K'd fewer than 5 just once in L8; K'd 5+ once in first six
10 Madison Bumgarner at WAS
11 Carlos Martinez SD His 2.33 ERA and 30 Ks in four June starts is great, but even better considering all 4 were on road incl. trips to LAD & COL
12 Jason Hammel MIA
13 Jake Arrieta at NYM
14 Stephen Strasburg SF Returned from a month layoff and averaged 96.9 MPH w/his fastball (second-best all season); buy-low window may be closed
15 Lance Lynn CWS Walked 4 in return after 17-day layoff, but only 2 hits in six shutout innings at MIA
16 Shelby Miller WAS, PHI
17 A.J. Burnett at DET Neither Pirate stud likes facing DET w/4.81 and 5.59 career ERAs, respectively, though both had gems v. DET earlier this year…
18 Francisco Liriano at DET …even w/the ugly history, I don't think you can sit either because the upside is so high
19 Jaime Garcia CWS, SD
20 Jordan Zimmermann at ATL, SF Averaged 94+ MPH on his heater just once in first 8 starts, has been there in each of his L7: 3.18 ERA, 3.7 K:BB ratio in 45.3 IP
21 Ian Kennedy SEA, at STL Entered June w/a 7.15 ERA, but has reeled off a 2.40 ERA in 30 June IP w/28 Ks and 3.5 K:BB ratio
22 John Lackey SD
23 Alex Wood PHI Weird home/road splits: 5.00/2.73 ERA, 1.63/1.35 WHIP, 25%/13% K rates, 3.4/1.8 K:BB… home ERA will improve w/these skills
24 Jose Fernandez SF There's a solid chance he's very good immediately; not quite the 2.25 ERA we've seen in 224 IP so far, but 3.30-ish w/tons of Ks
25 Gio Gonzalez SF These next five are incredibly talented, but equally frustrating w/their shaky performances this yr; Gio's L8: 5, 6, 1, 4, 2, 2, 5, & 0 ER
26 Jon Lester at NYM ERA by month: 6.23, 1.76, and 5.74; K:BB by month: 4.8, 3.1, and 2.5; has 4.54 ERA on road despite better skills (24% K, 3.3 K:BB)
27 Tyson Ross at STL The only one of these five w/a sub-4.00 ERA, but BBs have returned to wreak havoc (1.45 WHIP); still buying given his upside
28 James Shields SEA One of three Padres in top 25 for HR/9 (min. 60 IP); Petco's HR park factors are nearing avg for both sides (99 L/94 R; 100 is AVG)
29 Andrew Cashner at STL Finished 6 IP just once in five June starts (7.62 ERA); velo is up, Ks are up, but newly acquired HR issue is holding him back
30 Noah Syndergaard at LAD 11 of his 21 ER were allowed in 2 starts to open June (also allowed 20 his 54 H in those starts)
31 Julio Teheran PHI
32 Chris Heston at MIA
33 Mat Latos SF, at CHC Most encouraging aspect since his return is the velo: 93.8, 93.9, and 95 MPH fastball avgs in three starts; 91.7 MPH in F9 starts total
34 Brett Anderson at ARI Now has his highest IP total (89) in five years besting his previous high of 83 in 2011; trust him while healthy
35 Anthony DeSclafani MIN
36 Bartolo Colon CHC
37 Chase Anderson COL Went about as expected in Coors (8 ER), hoping he can salvage the week w/a gem in SD; handles Chase Field well (3.25 home ERA)
38 Mike Fiers at CIN Mike check… 1, 2, 3
39 Mike Leake MIN, MIL No rhyme or reason to his blowups meaning you just take the good w/the bad and accept him as a high-3.00s, low-4.00s pitcher
40 Michael Bolsinger at ARI, NYM Suffered a hellacious June swoon (5.06 ERA in 27 IP), but was so good before that his 2.95 ERA kind of hides it
41 Kyle Hendricks at NYM, MIA He's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchups
42 Jimmy Nelson at PHI, at CIN
43 Steven Matz at LAD Making his debut Sunday so we'll get an idea of him; LAD is below average v. LHP so this isn't a terrifying matchup
44 Jake Peavy at MIA This is what we call a soft landing w/MIA sitting 29th in wRC v. RHP at 80
45 Chad Bettis at OAK Has actually been better at home ERA-wise, but skills are similarly solid both home and away; OAK solid v. RHP, though
46 Williams Perez WAS
47 Charlie Morton CLE Morton haters didn't believe 33.3 IP of 1.62 ERA, but seem to think 0.7 IP of 115.70 ERA couldn't be more real… that's beyond stupid
48 Robbie Ray LAD Up better than two ticks on the radar gun at 94.5 MPH
49 Taylor Jungmann at PHI, at CIN Impressing early on w/2.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 K:BB ratio, and 56% GB rate in 23 IP; two below avg offenses this week, too
50 Jorge De La Rosa at OAK, at ARI
51 David Hale at OAK, at ARI Displaying skills well beyond his 5.86 ERA, but a 21% HR/FB and .327 BABIP have done him in; 3.63 xFIP says better days coming
52 Rubby De La Rosa LAD, COL June ran the gamut of what he can be at both his best and worst: 7, 9, 0, 1, and 1 ER incl. a 7 IP/1 ER gem in Coors
53 Dan Haren SF Tough opponent, but you got him to use at home: 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 3.4 K:BB ratio in 49 IP
54 Kyle Lohse at PHI Had 0 HR allowed in 16 of 31 starts last yr, but in just 2 of 16 this year (1.9 HR/9); career-worst 16% HR/FB could regress (10% career)
55 Jon Niese CHC Put together a decent June that is emblematic of what he can be at his best: 3.46 ERA, 1.38 WHIP in 26 IP

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
56 Jeremy Hellickson COL His L7 won't overwhelm results-wise, but skills are improving: 4.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 21% K, and 3.8 K:BB ratio in 40.3 IP
57 Tsuyoshi Wada MIA His 9 K debut is still heavily influencing his alleged K surge: w/it - 24%, w/out it - 20%; it counts, it's just not indicative of more
58 Doug Fister at ATL The Ks are just so low that it takes REALLY good ratios to counterbalance; ATL has 3rd-lowest K% v. RHP, too (17%)
59 Matt Wisler WAS
60 Jeff Locke CLE
61 Ryan Vogelsong at MIA, at WAS At best, he's a home/road guy, but the skills say neither: 2.63/5.31 ERA, 1.7/1.9 K:BB ratio
62 Tom Koehler at CHC Don't mess w/the home/road splits: 1.52/6.21 ERA
63 David Phelps at CHC Not as stark, but also a home/road Marlin: 3.55/4.76 ERA
64 Carlos Frias at ARI Not quite ready for primetime it seems; the highs just can't offset the lows right now and he doesn't have a carrying category
65 Adam Morgan MIL Solid debut for the lefty, but still need to see more; wasn't a huge prospect, but has some pedigree as a third-rounder
66 Aaron Harang MIL
67 Tim Lincecum at WAS
68 Michael Lorenzen MIL
69 Chris Rusin at ARI
70 Odrisamer Despaigne at STL
71 Kevin Correia at ATL
72 Josh Smith MIL
73 Matt Garza at PHI
74 Kyle Kendrick at ARI
75 Sean O'Sullivan MIL, at ATL
76 Allen Webster LAD, COL

MLB TOP 100

RankPitcherOppComments
1 Max Scherzer at ATL The best pitcher in baseball and it's because of what he did as opposed to anything Kershaw hasn't done because…
2 Clayton Kershaw NYM …Kershaw has still been fantastic even w/his mortal 3.33 ERA (33% K rate, 1.04 WHIP)
3 Cole Hamels MIL, at ATL
4 Gerrit Cole at DET, CLE With mid-level guys you worry when they face a tm like DET; w/aces you worry about those premium hitters going 0-4
5 Sonny Gray COL, SEA Getting COL at home makes this a prime two-start week for Gray; 2.37 ERA, 23% K in 33.7 June IP
6 Chris Sale at STL Seven straight 10+ K outings gives him eight tying his 2014 total and tying him for 4th-most in season since '11 (Darvish, 12 in '13)
7 Zack Greinke NYM If last year's 25% K rate was still around, he'd be better than a lot of 2-start guys even w/just 1, alas it's down to a solid 23%
8 Matt Harvey at LAD
9 Johnny Cueto MIN The focus now is whether or not Cueto will be traded, but not many parks would be worse and he's a true stud
10 Jacob deGrom CHC Out of his mind lately: 1.20 ERA, 0.61 WHIP, & 11.4 K:BB ratio in 52.7 IP, going 7+ IP in all seven starts
11 Masahiro Tanaka TB
12 Corey Kluber at TB Another good effort goes unrewarded, seventh loss/no-decision when allowing 3 or fewer ER; CLE has scored 8 R in his L5 combined
13 Chris Archer at NYY
14 Felix Hernandez at OAK I had injury worries after the nightmare in HOU, but he bounced back results-wise; velo in L4 is concerning: 93.1, 93.2. 92.1, 91.5
15 David Price TOR You're never not using Price, but the Jays are obscene against LHP so we might not get Peak Price
16 Dallas Keuchel KC
17 Michael Wacha SD Of course PHI saddles him w/worst start of yr: 5 IP/5 ER; has K'd fewer than 5 just once in L8; K'd 5+ once in first six
18 Madison Bumgarner at WAS
19 Carlos Martinez SD His 2.33 ERA and 30 Ks in four June starts is great, but even better considering all 4 were on road incl. trips to LAD & COL
20 Jason Hammel MIA
21 Jake Arrieta at NYM
22 Carlos Carrasco at TB, at PIT These two have become maddening, but I can't recommend buying enough shares of either as the skills suggest a lot upside remains…
23 Danny Salazar at TB, at PIT …Carrasco has the cleaner skills profile thanks to Salazar's HR issue, but TB/PIT both bottom 10 in HRs & ISO v. RHP
24 Stephen Strasburg SF Returned from a month layoff and averaged 96.9 MPH w/his fastball (second-best all season); buy-low window may be closed
25 Anibal Sanchez PIT Speaking of HR issues… the most frustrating part is that Sanchez led baseball w/0.4 HR/9 from 2013-14
26 Michael Pineda TB I'd say he doesn't deserve a 4.25 ERA thanks to a 2.89 FIP, but we can't just ignore four 5+ ER outings; great skills, maddening volatility
27 Jesse Chavez SEA
28 Scott Kazmir SEA Had an 8-day layoff for his shoulder, since returning: 2.16 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, & 3.1 K:BB ratio in 25 IP
29 Lance Lynn CWS Walked 4 in return after 17-day layoff, but only 2 hits in six shutout innings at MIA
30 Shelby Miller WAS, PHI
31 A.J. Burnett at DET Neither Pirate stud likes facing DET w/4.81 and 5.59 career ERAs, respectively, though both had gems v. DET earlier this year…
32 Francisco Liriano at DET …even w/the ugly history, I don't think you can sit either because the upside is so high
33 Jaime Garcia CWS, SD
34 Jordan Zimmermann at ATL, SF Averaged 94+ MPH on his heater just once in first 8 starts, has been there in each of his L7: 3.18 ERA, 3.7 K:BB ratio in 45.3 IP
35 Jeff Samardzija BAL
36 Jose Quintana BAL
37 Taijuan Walker at OAK He keeps chiseling that ERA so make sure you're looking at the gamelogs and not just the bottom line: 1.91 ERA and 44 Ks in L42.3 IP
38 Ian Kennedy SEA, at STL Entered June w/a 7.15 ERA, but has reeled off a 2.40 ERA in 30 June IP w/28 Ks and 3.5 K:BB ratio
39 John Lackey SD
40 Alex Wood PHI Weird home/road splits: 5.00/2.73 ERA, 1.63/1.35 WHIP, 25%/13% K rates, 3.4/1.8 K:BB… home ERA will improve w/these skills
41 Jose Fernandez SF There's a solid chance he's very good immediately; not quite the 2.25 ERA we've seen in 224 IP so far, but 3.30-ish w/tons of Ks
42 Gio Gonzalez SF These next five are incredibly talented, but equally frustrating w/their shaky performances this yr; Gio's L8: 5, 6, 1, 4, 2, 2, 5, & 0 ER
43 Jon Lester at NYM ERA by month: 6.23, 1.76, and 5.74; K:BB by month: 4.8, 3.1, and 2.5; has 4.54 ERA on road despite better skills (24% K, 3.3 K:BB)
44 Tyson Ross at STL The only one of these five w/a sub-4.00 ERA, but BBs have returned to wreak havoc (1.45 WHIP); still buying given his upside
45 James Shields SEA One of three Padres in top 25 for HR/9 (min. 60 IP); Petco's HR park factors are nearing avg for both sides (99 L/94 R; 100 is AVG)
46 Andrew Cashner at STL Finished 6 IP just once in five June starts (7.62 ERA); velo is up, Ks are up, but newly acquired HR issue is holding him back
47 Noah Syndergaard at LAD 11 of his 21 ER were allowed in 2 starts to open June (also allowed 20 his 54 H in those starts)
48 Julio Teheran PHI
49 Chris Heston at MIA
50 Mat Latos SF, at CHC Most encouraging aspect since his return is the velo: 93.8, 93.9, and 95 MPH fastball avgs in three starts; 91.7 MPH in F9 starts total
51 Brett Anderson at ARI Now has his highest IP total (89) in five years besting his previous high of 83 in 2011; trust him while healthy
52 Lance McCullers Jr. KC, at BOS
53 Garrett Richards at TEX He's getting a lot of leeway on the 1.9 K:BB ratio bc of his '14, but he had a 1.9 K:BB in 230 IP before '14, too
54 Trevor May at CIN A bad third of an inning erased all of his ERA goodness, but it doesn't invalidate the legitimate gains he's made this year
55 Anthony DeSclafani MIN
56 Bartolo Colon CHC
57 Chase Anderson COL Went about as expected in Coors (8 ER), hoping he can salvage the week w/a gem in SD; handles Chase Field well (3.25 home ERA)
58 Trevor Bauer at PIT Weeks ago I ended his comment w/"let's hope this consistency is real"… it wasn't, since: 6.64 ERA in 20.3 IP w/20 Ks, but also 16 BBs
59 Edinson Volquez at HOU
60 Jesse Hahn COL One of just seven guys w/2+ strikeout-free games: Dickey (3), Worley, J.Williams, Pelfrey, S.Gonzalez, & Gibson w/2 ea.
61 Yovani Gallardo at BAL Hasn't allowed more than 2 ER in any of his L6 (1.22 ERA in 37 IP); hasn't allowed more than 4 ER in any start this yr (2.98 ERA in 88 IP)
62 Hector Santiago at TEX His ERA has been north of 3.00 just twice: after his first (5.06) and fifth (3.14) starts; 7 HRs in June has ERA on rise, though
63 Ubaldo Jimenez at CWS
64 Wei-Yin Chen TEX
65 Mike Fiers at CIN Mike check… 1, 2, 3
66 Mike Leake MIN, MIL No rhyme or reason to his blowups meaning you just take the good w/the bad and accept him as a high-3.00s, low-4.00s pitcher
67 Michael Bolsinger at ARI, NYM Suffered a hellacious June swoon (5.06 ERA in 27 IP), but was so good before that his 2.95 ERA kind of hides it
68 Clay Buchholz at TOR, HOU Holding a 2.48 ERA in June despite a couple of 4 ER outings in there; treat this as a 1-start wk when a trip to TOR is involved
69 C.J. Wilson NYY, at TEX
70 Nate Karns CLE, at NYY
71 Justin Verlander PIT, TOR Back stiffness has earned him some time off (last threw on 6/19), but expected to return for 2-start week
72 Mike Montgomery at SD, at OAK Former blue-chip prospect is making good early in his MLB career capped by 10-K shutout of KC of all teams
73 Miguel Gonzalez TEX, at CWS
74 Erasmo Ramirez CLE, at NYY Dropped a few spots because of the groin, but performance has just been unreal: 1.40 ERA & 3.8 K:BB in 19.3 June IP
75 Kyle Hendricks at NYM, MIA He's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchupsHe's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchupsHe's kind of like Fiers w/fewer Ks which isn't that desirable, but these are two strong matchups
76 Jimmy Nelson at PHI, at CIN
77 Kendall Graveman COL, SEA
78 Steven Matz at LAD Making his debut Sunday so we'll get an idea of him; LAD is below average v. LHP so this isn't a terrifying matchup
79 Adam Warren at LAA Supposed to go six-man to keep Warren in the rotation, but if they drop to five-man, it's likely him headed to the 'pen
80 Roenis Elias at SD Volatility is FUUUUNNN: 2, 1, 7, 2, and 7 ER in his last five starts
81 Nathan Eovaldi TB A 5.76 June ERA won't impress anyone, in fact it should make you vomit, but it's at 2.96 in 4 of the 5; other was his 0.7 IP/8 ER massacre
82 J.A. Happ at OAK
83 Ivan Nova at LAA Solid '15 debut, w/5 base runners in 6.7 IP, but just 1 K; will likely start heading upward as he gets some IP under belt
84 Jake Peavy at MIA This is what we call a soft landing w/MIA sitting 29th in wRC v. RHP at 80
85 Chad Bettis at OAK Has actually been better at home ERA-wise, but skills are similarly solid both home and away; OAK solid v. RHP, though
86 Williams Perez WAS
87 Charlie Morton CLE Morton haters didn't believe 33.3 IP of 1.62 ERA, but seem to think 0.7 IP of 115.70 ERA couldn't be more real… that's beyond stupid
88 Robbie Ray LAD Up better than two ticks on the radar gun at 94.5 MPH
89 Taylor Jungmann at PHI, at CIN Impressing early on w/2.74 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.2 K:BB ratio, and 56% GB rate in 23 IP; two below avg offenses this week, too
90 Jorge De La Rosa at OAK, at ARI
91 David Hale at OAK, at ARI Displaying skills well beyond his 5.86 ERA, but a 21% HR/FB and .327 BABIP have done him in; 3.63 xFIP says better days coming
92 Rubby De La Rosa LAD, COL June ran the gamut of what he can be at both his best and worst: 7, 9, 0, 1, and 1 ER incl. a 7 IP/1 ER gem in Coors
93 Andrew Heaney NYY Heaney gets a showcase while Weaver is out, but he could stick beyond if he excels; 0.5 HR/9 in 338 MiLB IP
94 Alfredo Simon PIT
95 Chris Young MIN KC will protect him from third-time-through, but trouble can happen in the first five: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, & 7 ER in his last six
96 Carlos Rodon at STL It's going to be bumpy w/that BB rate, but the upside is still sky-high; StL is 24th in wRC+ v. LHP at 86 this year (100 is average)
97 Marco Estrada BOS, at DET Appears to have regained his good MIL form, but the HRs really leave him w/a high-3.00s ERA ceiling
98 Wandy Rodriguez at BAL, LAA Gave back a lot of his gains in one fell swoop v. OAK (24th v. LHP coming in) after a 2.70 ERA in 36.7 IP before his last one
99 Dan Haren SF Tough opponent, but you got him to use at home: 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 3.4 K:BB ratio in 49 IP
100 Kyle Lohse at PHI Had 0 HR allowed in 16 of 31 starts last yr, but in just 2 of 16 this year (1.9 HR/9); career-worst 16% HR/FB could regress (10% career)
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
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