Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Roaring Thunder

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Roaring Thunder

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments. I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week April 18-24

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1 Chris Sale LAA If this improved walk rate sticks (3.5%), we could see a sub-1.00 WHIP like 2014
2 David Price TB
3 Cole Hamels HOU
4 Danny Salazar SEA One of the few arms who could realistically push a 30% K rate
5 Corey Kluber at DET
6 Dallas Keuchel at TEX
7 Carlos Carrasco SEA, at DET The two 2-start studs both have a really tough matchup on the road so they don't really jump the 1-start guys…
8 Marcus Stroman at BAL, OAK …especially because Stroman isn't a strikeout stud in the first place
9 Garrett Richards at CWS
10 Felix Hernandez at LAA
11 Ervin Santana MIL, at WAS Looks sharp early on, though the K% will likely meander back toward his usual 19-20% level
12 Carlos Rodon LAA, TEX One of those guys who can be successful w/the BBs because he's so tough to hit
13 Chris Archer at BOS
14 Jake Odorizzi at BOS
15 Justin Verlander CLE
16 Jose Quintana LAA His early season K% spike (25%) isn't supported by SwStr% (9.7%); LAA not K'ing, either (15%)
17 Taijuan Walker at
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments. I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week April 18-24

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1 Chris Sale LAA If this improved walk rate sticks (3.5%), we could see a sub-1.00 WHIP like 2014
2 David Price TB
3 Cole Hamels HOU
4 Danny Salazar SEA One of the few arms who could realistically push a 30% K rate
5 Corey Kluber at DET
6 Dallas Keuchel at TEX
7 Carlos Carrasco SEA, at DET The two 2-start studs both have a really tough matchup on the road so they don't really jump the 1-start guys…
8 Marcus Stroman at BAL, OAK …especially because Stroman isn't a strikeout stud in the first place
9 Garrett Richards at CWS
10 Felix Hernandez at LAA
11 Ervin Santana MIL, at WAS Looks sharp early on, though the K% will likely meander back toward his usual 19-20% level
12 Carlos Rodon LAA, TEX One of those guys who can be successful w/the BBs because he's so tough to hit
13 Chris Archer at BOS
14 Jake Odorizzi at BOS
15 Justin Verlander CLE
16 Jose Quintana LAA His early season K% spike (25%) isn't supported by SwStr% (9.7%); LAA not K'ing, either (15%)
17 Taijuan Walker at CLE
18 Masahiro Tanaka TB Solid if unspectacular first 2 starts; TB could be the perfect remedy: they're not hitting & he dominates them
19 Hisashi Iwakuma at LAA
20 Yordano Ventura DET, BAL Ventura & Smyly each get a gross pair of starts, but each is tough to sit, generally speaking
21 Drew Smyly at BOS, at NYY
22 Sonny Gray at TOR
23 Aaron Sanchez OAK Very interesting test for Sanchez as OAK will stack w/lefties, but they also don't walk much
24 Anibal Sanchez CLE
25 Michael Pineda OAK, TB Looks like last year early on: strong skills but too hittable; love these matchups, though
26 Jordan Zimmermann at KC Unlikely to improve that 14% K% at KC!
27 Shane Greene at KC, CLE
28 Kyle Gibson at WAS
29 Cody Anderson SEA All of the Spring Training velo hasn't held (96.3), but he's still up about 0.8 MPH on the yr (94 MPH)
30 Nick Tropeano SEA
31 Nathan Eovaldi OAK
32 Luis Severino OAK
33 Mat Latos LAA, TEX Skills aren't yet backing the fast start, but he's back on the radar now
34 A.J. Griffin HOU, at CWS
35 Hector Santiago at CWS, SEA
36 Wade Miley at CLE, at LAA A 14:0 K:BB is only so good when you're also allowing 17 H in 12 IP; just be careful
37 Kris Medlen BAL Really like Medlen this year, but I'm leery of any mid-tier options v. BAL this year
38 Ian Kennedy DET
39 Nate Karns at CLE
40 Matt Moore at NYY With BBs being his biggest issue, a trip to NYY isn't the best setup, but I'm still OK starting him
41 Collin McHugh BOS
42 Phil Hughes MIL, at WAS I like the early spike in SwStr% from 5.5% to 8.3%; if it sticks, he can maintain an 18-21% K%
43 J.A. Happ at BOS, OAK Isn't showing the same pitch usage that made him successful in PIT, but still pitchable for sure
44 Mike Fiers BOS
45 Edinson Volquez DET
46 Derek Holland at CWS
47 Erasmo Ramirez at NYY Joins the rotation with a tough matchup, but I'm putting him right in my lineup
48 Rick Porcello TB
49 Ricky Nolasco at MIL Has always been better v. RHP and MIL still features a righty-heavy lineup
50 CC Sabathia TB
51 Rich Hill at NYY He made me look like an overreactionary clown at SEA, but then flopped v. KC; he's a streamer at-best
52 Matt Shoemaker at CWS, SEA

SIT

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
53 Martin Perez HOU The 60% GB rate has carried over so far, but more BBs than Ks has me tapping the brakes
54 Marco Estrada at BAL Big opener after that killer 2015, but I'm not sending him in at BAL
55 R.A. Dickey at BAL In fact, Estrada and these next 9 arms have brutal matchups & aren't good enough to start
56 Chris Young BAL
57 Chris Tillman TOR
58 Yovani Gallardo at KC
59 Kendall Graveman at NYY, at TOR
60 Clay Buchholz TOR, at HOU
61 Chris Bassitt at TOR
62 Doug Fister at TEX
63 Josh Tomlin at DET
64 Ubaldo Jimenez TOR, at KC
65 Mike Pelfrey at KC
66 Colby Lewis at CWS
67 Scott Feldman at TEX, BOS
68 Eric Surkamp at NYY
69 Joe Kelly TB, at HOU
70 Jered Weaver at CWS
71 Steven Wright at HOU
72 Mike Wright at KC
73 Vance Worley TOR
74 John Danks TEX
75 Tommy Milone at MIL

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1 Noah Syndergaard at PHI, at ATL Could he get 30 Ks this week? He could… which is just insane
2 Stephen Strasburg at MIA, MIN
3 Jose Fernandez WAS, at SF The only bummer so far is that he has two sub-6 IP outings which is problematic w/that ugly MIA pen
4 Clayton Kershaw at ATL The NL studs get some really sexy matchups this week, huh?
5 Max Scherzer at MIA
6 Matt Harvey at ATL
7 Jake Arrieta at CIN Seems comfortable trading some Ks for efficiency: two 7 IP starts on <100 pitches, but just 7.7 K/9; still a superstar
8 Michael Wacha at SD Only 6% SwStr in his first two starts, but he started slowly w/Ks last year, too; love the matchup
9 Gerrit Cole at SD
10 Francisco Liriano at SD, at ARI
11 Madison Bumgarner ARI Neither Bummy nor Greinke is close to a sit, but both look like less than the automatic studs they were last year
12 Zack Greinke at SF
13 Raisel Iglesias COL, CHC Velo is down nearly 3 MPH and even 1.6 MPH down April-to-April; let's keep a close eye on that
14 Patrick Corbin PIT
15 Jon Lester at CIN
16 Adam Wainwright at SD BBs are high, but his first-pitch strike rate is higher than his career mark; in other words don't worry
17 Johnny Cueto ARI
18 Carlos Martinez CHC
19 Vince Velasquez NYM I put him near CarMart on purpose because he could do something similar to his 2015, albeit in fewer IP (closer to 140-150)
20 Jason Hammel at STL, at CIN
21 Jaime Garcia CHC Tough matchup, but skills aren't the issue, it's all about health and he's healthy right now so enjoy
22 Gio Gonzalez MIN
23 Aaron Nola at MIL Same SwStr% rate as last suggests that this K surge is probably opponent-influenced (SD, at CIN)
24 James Shields PIT
25 Joe Ross at MIA Opening MIA, at PHI, at MIA is why the NL East SPs were so appealing
26 Steven Matz at ATL Blasted badly in his debut, but a trip to ATL is a nice remedy
27 Shelby Miller at SF
28 Wei-Yin Chen WAS That bullpen. My goodness, that bullpen.
29 Mike Leake CHC, at SD These next four are your shallow league 2-start streamers; don't love 'em ALL the time, but Leake v. CHC is the only tough one
30 Tanner Roark at MIA, MIN
31 Jerad Eickhoff NYM, at MIL MIL is a nice matchup for Eickhoff because he dominates righties (.445 career OPS)
32 John Lackey at STL, at CIN
33 Julio Teheran LAD Made it through 7 IP in a 6 ER outing because he wasn't getting crushed (save the Harper slam), but each mistake was being punished
34 Juan Nicasio at ARI A trip to DET deflated all the hype, but one bad start doesn't erase all the good we've seen this spring
35 Jimmy Nelson MIN
36 Kyle Hendricks at STL
37 Brandon Finnegan CHC
38 Adam Conley WAS, at SF You saw why I've been so hyped on Conley coming into the year
39 Drew Pomeranz PIT
40 Andrew Cashner STL It's been frustrating, but K and BB rates are better this year; .429 BABIP & 55% LOB rates can't stay that bad
41 Bartolo Colon at PHI
42 Tom Koehler WAS He has a 3.63 ERA, 7.2 K/9 at home in 257.7 IP
43 Jon Niese at ARI
44 Ross Stripling at ATL Could be this year's Chris Heston, which isn't necessarily a negative
45 Logan Verrett at PHI
46 Jeff Samardzija MIA Finally get to see him in AT&T Park! I refused to use him in Coors, but he dominated, something he's always done oddly enough (2.01 ERA in 22.3 IP)
47 Charlie Morton at MIL
48 Robbie Ray at SF, PIT
49 Jorge De La Rosa at CIN
50 Rubby De La Rosa at SF, PIT
51 Matt Wisler LAD, NYM
52 Robbie Erlin STL I've always liked Erlin, so I'm interested to see what he can do in Ross's stead
53 Jeff Locke at SD An interesting spot-start because of how horrible SD is, but you can still get burned w/4th-5th SP types regardless of opponent

SIT

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
54 Wily Peralta at MIN, PHI
55 Chase Anderson at MIN, PHI
56 Jhoulys Chacin NYM
57 Jeremy Hellickson NYM
58 Kenta Maeda at COL Sitting out this week with Maeda and Kazmir in Coors this week for what I hope are obvious reasons
59 Scott Kazmir at COL
60 Chad Bettis LAD
61 Jon Gray LAD
62 Alex Wood at ATL, at COL Spot-start for ATL, but then bench for COL; if your only choice is none or both, then it's none
63 Zach Davies PHI
64 Tyler Chatwood at CIN, LAD
65 Jake Peavy ARI, MIA
66 Matt Cain ARI, MIA
67 Colin Rea PIT, STL
68 Jon Moscot CHC
69 Taylor Jungmann MIN
70 Alfredo Simon COL, CHC
71 Jarred Cosart at SF
72 Williams Perez LAD
73 Bud Norris NYM
74 Tim Melville COL
75 Jordan Lyles at CIN
73 Tyler Cravy at PIT In for Matt Garza, expected out 4-6 weeks
74 Jordan Lyles SF

MLB TOP 100

RANKPITCHEROPPONENTCOMMENT
1 Noah Syndergaard at PHI, at ATL Could he get 30 Ks this week? He could… which is just insane
2 Stephen Strasburg at MIA, MIN
3 Jose Fernandez WAS, at SF The only bummer so far is that he has two sub-6 IP outings which is problematic w/that ugly MIA pen
4 Clayton Kershaw at ATL The NL studs get some really sexy matchups this week, huh?
5 Max Scherzer at MIA
6 Matt Harvey at ATL
7 Chris Sale LAA If this improved walk rate sticks (3.5%), we could see a sub-1.00 WHIP like 2014
8 David Price TB
9 Jake Arrieta at CIN Seems comfortable trading some Ks for efficiency: two 7 IP starts on <100 pitches, but just 7.7 K/9; still a superstar
10 Cole Hamels HOU
11 Danny Salazar SEA One of the few arms who could realistically push a 30% K rate
12 Corey Kluber at DET
13 Dallas Keuchel at TEX
14 Carlos Carrasco SEA, at DET The two 2-start studs both have a really tough matchup on the road so they don't really jump the 1-start guys…
15 Michael Wacha at SD Only 6% SwStr in his first two starts, but he started slowly w/Ks last year, too; love the matchup
16 Gerrit Cole at SD
17 Francisco Liriano at SD, at ARI
18 Marcus Stroman at BAL, OAK …especially because Stroman isn't a strikeout stud in the first place
19 Garrett Richards at CWS
20 Felix Hernandez at LAA
21 Ervin Santana MIL, at WAS Looks sharp early on, though the K% will likely meander back toward his usual 19-20% level
22 Carlos Rodon LAA, TEX One of those guys who can be successful w/the BBs because he's so tough to hit
23 Chris Archer at BOS
24 Jake Odorizzi at BOS
25 Madison Bumgarner ARI Neither Bummy nor Greinke is close to a sit, but both look like less than the automatic studs they were last year
26 Zack Greinke at SF
27 Raisel Iglesias COL, CHC Velo is down nearly 3 MPH and even 1.6 MPH down April-to-April; let's keep a close eye on that
28 Patrick Corbin PIT
29 Jon Lester at CIN
30 Justin Verlander CLE
31 Jose Quintana LAA His early season K% spike (25%) isn't supported by SwStr% (9.7%); LAA not K'ing, either (15%)
32 Taijuan Walker at CLE
33 Masahiro Tanaka TB Solid if unspectacular first 2 starts; TB could be the perfect remedy: they're not hitting & he dominates them
34 Adam Wainwright at SD BBs are high, but his first-pitch strike rate is higher than his career mark; in other words don't worry
35 Johnny Cueto ARI
36 Carlos Martinez CHC
37 Vince Velasquez NYM I put him near CarMart on purpose because he could do something similar to his 2015, albeit in fewer IP (closer to 140-150)
38 Jason Hammel at STL, at CIN
39 Jaime Garcia CHC Tough matchup, but skills aren't the issue, it's all about health and he's healthy right now so enjoy
40 Gio Gonzalez MIN
41 Hisashi Iwakuma at LAA
42 Yordano Ventura DET, BAL Ventura & Smyly each get a gross pair of starts, but each is tough to sit, generally speaking
43 Drew Smyly at BOS, at NYY
44 Sonny Gray at TOR
45 Aaron Nola at MIL Same SwStr% rate as last suggests that this K surge is probably opponent-influenced (SD, at CIN)
46 James Shields PIT
47 Joe Ross at MIA Opening MIA, at PHI, at MIA is why the NL East SPs were so appealing
48 Steven Matz at ATL Blasted badly in his debut, but a trip to ATL is a nice remedy
49 Shelby Miller at SF
50 Wei-Yin Chen WAS That bullpen. My goodness, that bullpen.
51 Aaron Sanchez OAK Very interesting test for Sanchez as OAK will stack w/lefties, but they also don't walk much
52 Anibal Sanchez CLE
53 Michael Pineda OAK, TB Looks like last year early on: strong skills but too hittable; love these matchups, though
54 Mike Leake CHC, at SD These next four are your shallow league 2-start streamers; don't love 'em ALL the time, but Leake v. CHC is the only tough one
55 Tanner Roark at MIA, MIN
56 Jerad Eickhoff NYM, at MIL MIL is a nice matchup for Eickhoff because he dominates righties (.445 career OPS)
57 John Lackey at STL, at CIN
58 Jordan Zimmermann at KC Unlikely to improve that 14% K% at KC!
59 Shane Greene at KC, CLE
60 Kyle Gibson at WAS
61 Nick Tropeano SEA
62 Julio Teheran LAD Made it through 7 IP in a 6 ER outing because he wasn't getting crushed (save the Harper slam), but each mistake was being punished
63 Juan Nicasio at ARI A trip to DET deflated all the hype, but one bad start doesn't erase all the good we've seen this spring
64 Jimmy Nelson MIN
65 Cody Anderson SEA All of the Spring Training velo hasn't held (96.3), but he's still up about 0.8 MPH on the yr (94 MPH)
66 Kyle Hendricks at STL
67 Brandon Finnegan CHC
68 Adam Conley WAS, at SF You saw why I've been so hyped on Conley coming into the year
69 Nathan Eovaldi OAK
70 Luis Severino OAK
71 Drew Pomeranz PIT
72 Mat Latos LAA, TEX Skills aren't yet backing the fast start, but he's back on the radar now
73 A.J. Griffin HOU, at CWS
74 Hector Santiago at CWS, SEA
75 Wade Miley at CLE, at LAA A 14:0 K:BB is only so good when you're also allowing 17 H in 12 IP; just be careful
76 Andrew Cashner STL It's been frustrating, but K and BB rates are better this year; .429 BABIP & 55% LOB rates can't stay that bad
77 Bartolo Colon at PHI
78 Tom Koehler WAS He has a 3.63 ERA, 7.2 K/9 at home in 257.7 IP
79 Jon Niese at ARI
80 Ross Stripling at ATL Could be this year's Chris Heston, which isn't necessarily a negative
81 Logan Verrett at PHI
82 Kris Medlen BAL Really like Medlen this year, but I'm leery of any mid-tier options v. BAL this year
83 Ian Kennedy DET
84 Nate Karns at CLE
85 Matt Moore at NYY With BBs being his biggest issue, a trip to NYY isn't the best setup, but I'm still OK starting him
85 Erasmo Ramirez at NYY Joins the rotation with a tough matchup, but I'm putting him right in my lineup
86 Collin McHugh BOS
87 Jeff Samardzija MIA Finally get to see him in AT&T Park! I refused to use him in Coors, but he dominated, something he's always done oddly enough (2.01 ERA in 22.3 IP)
88 Charlie Morton at MIL
89 Robbie Ray at SF, PIT
90 Phil Hughes MIL, at WAS I like the early spike in SwStr% from 5.5% to 8.3%; if it sticks, he can maintain an 18-21% K%
91 J.A. Happ at BOS, OAK Isn't showing the same pitch usage that made him successful in PIT, but still pitchable for sure
92 Mike Fiers BOS
93 Edinson Volquez DET
94 Derek Holland at CWS
96 Rick Porcello TB
97 Jorge De La Rosa at CIN
98 Rubby De La Rosa at SF, PIT
99 Ricky Nolasco at MIL Has always been better v. RHP and MIL still features a righty-heavy lineup
100 CC Sabathia TB
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
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