Nick Nastrini
24-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-5
ERA
8.39
WHIP
1.99
K
19
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nastrini didn't have the control to project as a long-term starter with the Dodgers, but after he was moved to the White Sox as part of the return for Lance Lynn and Joe Kelly, he should get plenty of opportunities to stick as a starter in the coming years. A 6-foot-3 righty with a true four-pitch mix headed by a mid-90s fastball, Nastrini has had a walk rate over 10 percent at every full-season stop except his four-start run with Chicago's Double-A affiliate after the trade (7.4 percent). His 12.7 percent walk rate in four starts at Triple-A isn't as bad as it looks, when factoring in the automated balls and strikes system. Nastrini has struck out 308 batters in 231.2 innings over the past two seasons, and he only needs to develop fringe-average command to make it as a high-strikeout, high-WHIP starter who is useful in most formats but never coveted due to his volatile ratios and presumably poor team context with the White Sox. Read Past Outlooks
Falls short of first win
Nastrini came away with a no-decision in Saturday's 6-1 win over the Red Sox, allowing one run on two hits and five walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
He got lifted after 87 pitches (42 strikes) following a Bobby Dalbec homer in the top of the fifth inning that gave Boston a 1-0 lead, preventing Nastrini from recording his first big-league win when Chicago erupted for five runs in the bottom of the frame. Control remains a significant issue for the rookie right-hander, and he's walked at least four batters in three of four starts since his late-May promotion. The rebuilding White Sox seem inclined to live with his growing pains, so Nastrini will carry an 8.39 ERA, 1.99 WHIP and 19:25 K:BB through 24.2 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come on the road next week in Seattle.
He got lifted after 87 pitches (42 strikes) following a Bobby Dalbec homer in the top of the fifth inning that gave Boston a 1-0 lead, preventing Nastrini from recording his first big-league win when Chicago erupted for five runs in the bottom of the frame. Control remains a significant issue for the rookie right-hander, and he's walked at least four batters in three of four starts since his late-May promotion. The rebuilding White Sox seem inclined to live with his growing pains, so Nastrini will carry an 8.39 ERA, 1.99 WHIP and 19:25 K:BB through 24.2 innings into his next outing, which lines up to come on the road next week in Seattle.
Pitching Stats
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2024
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Nick Nastrini generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Nick Nastrini generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
Even Split
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .250 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 1 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .250 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | |||
2024vs Left | .250 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .250 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 5 | |||
2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-75%
ERA at Home
2024
-75%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.77 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 9.4 | 6.9 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 14.81 | 2.90 | 10.1 | 3.5 | 12.2 | ||||
2024Home | 3.77 | 1.33 | 14.1 | 9.4 | 6.9 | ||||
2024Away | 14.81 | 2.90 | 10.1 | 3.5 | 12.2 | ||||
2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Nick Nastrini compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
0.76K/9
6.9BB/9
9.1HR/9
2.2Fastball
93.7 mphERA
8.39WHIP
1.99BABIP
.263GB/FB
0.82Left On Base
59.1%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
11.0%Spin Rate
2265 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.6%Swinging Strike
9.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Nastrini See More
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could debut in 2024
Nastrini could make his MLB debut with the White Sox in 2024, James Fegan of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old was acquired from the Dodgers at the trade deadline in the Lance Lynn trade, and the organization change could fast track his path to the majors. Nastrini spent most of the campaign at the Double-A level but finished the year at Triple-A, and he posted a 4.08 ERA and 10.9 K/9 in 25 starts between the two levels. He seems likely to open 2024 back at Triple-A since he's appeared in just five games there, but a strong showing in spring training could give him a chance of making the Opening Day rotation.
The 23-year-old was acquired from the Dodgers at the trade deadline in the Lance Lynn trade, and the organization change could fast track his path to the majors. Nastrini spent most of the campaign at the Double-A level but finished the year at Triple-A, and he posted a 4.08 ERA and 10.9 K/9 in 25 starts between the two levels. He seems likely to open 2024 back at Triple-A since he's appeared in just five games there, but a strong showing in spring training could give him a chance of making the Opening Day rotation.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
When rotation depth is never a major issue, as is seemingly the case with the Dodgers, it makes sense to acquire guys with excellent stuff and questionable command and hope that they improve their strike-throwing enough to start. Nastrini is such a pitcher, as he had a 32:7 K:BB in 14 innings after getting drafted in 2021 and a 169:55 K:BB in 116.2 innings this past season. A 6-foot-3, 215-pound righty who turns 23 in February, Nastrini has never had a strikeout rate below 34.9% or a walk rate below 10.7%. His mid-90s fastball is a plus pitch, and his secondaries all get plenty of whiffs, the issue is just landing them for strikes enough to keep hitters honest. Opposing batters have hit .176 against Nastrini in the pros, so he doesn't need to have an excellent walk rate, he just needs to be in the 9-to-10 percent range. Given the Dodgers' depth and the fact that he doesn't need to be added to the 40-man roster until after the 2024 season, Nastrini should get another full year in the minors to work on his command and control.
More Fantasy News
Falls to 0-5
Nastrini (0-5) allowed four runs on three hits and three walks over four innings Sunday, striking out one and taking a loss against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Walks four more batters
Nastrini (0-4) took the loss Monday against Toronto, allowing three earned runs on three hits and four walks over five innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Sticking around in rotation
Nastrini is scheduled to start Monday's game against the Blue Jays in Chicago, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles versus Blue Jays
Nastrini (0-3) allowed nine runs (eight earned) on seven hits and six walks while failing to record a strikeout over 3.1 innings, taking the loss Wednesday versus the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled for start
The White Sox recalled Nastrini from Triple-A Charlotte prior to his start Wednesday in Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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